Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002694 0.002879 0.003079 0.003313 0.003580 0.003878 0.004240
2024-12-22 0.002449 0.002706 0.003000 0.003368 0.003826 0.004389 0.005156
2024-12-29 0.002285 0.002586 0.002947 0.003426 0.004064 0.004919 0.006227
2025-01-05 0.002112 0.002429 0.002821 0.003362 0.004121 0.005211 0.007049
2025-01-12 0.001955 0.002272 0.002675 0.003246 0.004077 0.005337 0.007643
2025-01-19 0.001863 0.002191 0.002615 0.003234 0.004175 0.005689 0.008755
2025-01-26 0.001714 0.002023 0.002426 0.003020 0.003937 0.005442 0.008611
2025-02-02 0.001664 0.001982 0.002405 0.003045 0.004069 0.005853 0.010031
2025-02-09 0.001643 0.001977 0.002432 0.003140 0.004326 0.006549 0.012606
2025-02-16 0.001599 0.001939 0.002408 0.003154 0.004447 0.007012 0.014986
2025-02-23 0.001588 0.001945 0.002447 0.003271 0.004767 0.008004 0.020639
2025-03-02 0.001535 0.001888 0.002390 0.003224 0.004773 0.008271 0.023815
2025-03-09 0.001475 0.001822 0.002320 0.003159 0.004752 0.008512 0.027924
2025-03-16 0.001452 0.001808 0.002327 0.003226 0.005011 0.009633 0.044824
2025-03-23 0.001428 0.001791 0.002330 0.003285 0.005268 0.010930 0.089998
2025-03-30 0.001380 0.001737 0.002271 0.003228 0.005257 0.011347 0.148958
2025-04-06 0.001326 0.001671 0.002188 0.003120 0.005114 0.011225 0.193382
2025-04-13 0.001295 0.001639 0.002159 0.003110 0.005200 0.012051 1.551228
2025-04-20 0.001227 0.001549 0.002033 0.002910 0.004806 0.010763 0.286969
2025-04-27 0.001208 0.001533 0.002026 0.002934 0.004959 0.011856 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001204 0.001537 0.002052 0.003022 0.005292 0.014104 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001185 0.001519 0.002039 0.003036 0.005433 0.015605 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001184 0.001528 0.002073 0.003144 0.005865 0.019700 NaN